One Overlooked Tool for Improving the Bottom Line

So, how can one tool, improve the bottom line? Don’t do what the majority of the 90% do and that is…….

The 90% focus on ‘getting the entry’ right. While getting in at a price where your open loss is helpful, it’s not the end all and be all. The reality is we are very unlikely to go long at the exact low or go short at the exact high of a correction. Far more important is how we manage our trade.

So,  two questions:

  1. Do you have trade management rules? And,
  2. Do you follow them?

The problem with many traders is they get married to the trade once they have taken a position. Rather than listen to the market objectively, they enter and then manage their trade on a wing and a prayer.

That’s not the way to trading success.

A profitable trade has two facets – an entry and an exit; where you exit is the key to long-term success. And for this, you need some way of objectively exiting the trade.

Here’s an example of what I mean.

Figure 1 shows a trade I took on Dec 15. A trade that in part was relying on the ‘December End-of-Year Up Close’.  On Dec 29, I was faced with this picture:

  1. I have a formula that indicates when a sideways pattern is ready to breakout. That indicator said the congestion that started on Dec 18 was on the brink.
  2. In the London session, the S&P gave an Upthrust Change in Trend sell signal:
  • it made new highs and then
  • formed a bearish conviction bar close below 2692.

The choice before me was a stark one. One the one hand, I was emotionally committed to an up close on Dec 29; on the other, my trading rules said to exit the trade.

What choice do you think I made? What choice would you have made? Don’t be shy – post a comment and let me know.

Figure 1 S&P 60-min

 

6 thoughts on “One Overlooked Tool for Improving the Bottom Line”

  1. Hi Ray, I dont trade S& P . but my comment is that you made the rules for a reason, so i would follow the rules. You are a meticulous person, you have stats on your stats. You have shown consistent profit over the years. Therefore the rule would have a reason for being there, so i would stick to the rules .
    The trade is in profit, why not leave a ” Bluesky” trade on, as you are then safe but still have potential for profit.
    cheers Baz

  2. Hi Ray, I don’t trade s&p as well. My guess likely you would have exited the trade. However, if there is a reason to stay on the trade, perhaps could exit partially and let the remaining run. No right or wrong. Love it or learn from it

  3. Hi Ray,

    As you are a discretionary trader my guess is you would choose to ignore your rule on this occasion, and continue. For me this would come down to the wider view that the market behavior is more parabolic than crashy, and with no other direct evidence of downside development there was reason to continue the position over the London based S&P session as this is not a good indicator of the US open .

    Even the poor US job numbers don’t seem to be causing ripples on the S&P at present which is in itself interesting information.

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