BarroMetrics Views: Purpose and The EURUSD

I dislike organizing seminars; believe me there is a lot of work involved. A friend asked me yesterday: “Why do you it? At the price (A$650.00), they should be breaking the doors down to get in; instead you are working your a.. off to fill your target!”

Hey I never said holding an annual seminar will be easy, especially since, as Chrisy (my wife) says, I sell hard work rather than empty promises. Ultimately our purpose and commitment to that purpose will determine the success or failure of an outcome. It took 7 years to build my name in this part of the world. At one stage the question was: “Who is Ray Barros? Why should we invite him to speak at our event?”. Now it’s: “See if  Ray is available and do your best to get him to speak for us”.

So who knows, next year I may not have to work so hard to fill my seats to the free event (the over-600 crowd on May 15 was the result of much hard work on the part of many) and to fill the seats to my paid 2-day seminar. And if I can help just 5 traders avoid the mistakes I made when I first started, then it would be all worthwhile.

But let’s turn to the markets.

The EURUSD is the hottest thing around at the moment. Every time I have been  interviewed, I could count  a question on it.

Figure 1 shows the 12-M swing. Given the volatility of the sideways congestion, I would expect the current pullback of the breakdown to take the form of a sideways market. The low seems well established at 1.2185 or so. We need only find the high where the EURUSD should congest for a day or two. Right now the favourite candidate is 1.2420. The range provides the following info:

  1. Primary Sell Zone 1.2420 to 1.2390
  2. Maximum Extension 1.2466 (say 1.2470).
  3. Primary Buy Zone: 1.2217 (say 1.2220) to 1.2185
  4. Value Area 1.2343 (say 1.2345) to 1.2265
  5. Death Zone 1.2304 (say 1.2305) to 1.2265

Acceptance above 1.2470 raises the possibility of a Negative Development Buy that has a target zone beginning at 1.5625. I’ll deal with that should we see acceptance above 1.2470.

20-5-2010-9-24-45-am-12m.jpg

FIGURE 1 12-M EURUSD

20-5-2010-7-31-03-am-60min-sq.jpg

FIGURE 2 60-min EURUSD

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